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Archive for November 6th, 2009

Indy-Butler Tilt

Aside from the crime of the NCHSAA and CMS managing to lock, oh, 10-15K fans out of this game, the most interesting thing is that at least some of the Butler kids trying to kill Indy tonight will play for Indy next year as East side reassignments kick in.

No wonder some Butler folks are in denial about this possibly being the last, best chance for the Bulldogs to top the Pats, even as some explore demanding that CMS let the kids stay at Butler to finish out and play sports. In other words, exactly what then Indy kids were not allowed to do back when Butler opened. Area super — and former Butler principal — Joel Ritchie sure is gonna have fun next year.

One thing is for sure, Butler coach Mike Newsome knows exactly what might await his program — core talent siphoned off elsewhere and maybe a few of the big studs in his program bugging out for elsewhere. For that reason, Butler is coming for war and will likely cancel what any home field that Indy might have. Still, unless Butler gets out quick things might snowball on them in such an emotional battle.

Indy, 42-28.

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Do We Hit One-Fifth Unemployed?

Remember that the “official” unemployment rate does not include those who are jobless but giving up looking or at working part-time and want full-time work. The official jobless rate jumped to 10.2 percent in October, evidently a surprise to those thought the economy had turned last quarter.

But the real unemployment rate skipped to 17.5 percent from 17 percent. At this rate we’ll hit one-fifth of nation’s workers out of work by Q2 of 2010.

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“Mayor Foxx will move us hard to the left” Really?

That’s Republican city councilman Andy Dulin tweeting his outlook under Mayor Anthony Foxx and pledging “balance” from his approach. Let’s test that.

Suppose President Barack Obama heeds Mayor Foxx’s pleas that Charlotte “needs” the next CEO for Bank of America to locate in Charlotte and the feds essentially order BofA to do just that. Do Dulin and other local GOPers oppose that?

What about some sort of state and local incentive package to hand to BofA if they keep the CEO’s office in Charlotte? Is this a move to the hard left that Dulin and Republicans will oppose? As we speak the Charlotte Rent Seekers Guild is scurrying about backstage, with Guild Master Bob Morgan already citing the incentive horror handed broke-down GMAC as something to emulate.

Would Dulin oppose a quarter-cent sale tax hike effort the kind we mentioned yesterday? A city budget in the spring larger than the one the city operated on this year? This whole left-right thing starts to break down a little with specifics, doesn’t it?

Bonus Chuckle: Ooow. Foxx talked to Obama about BofA. No one — least of all at the Uptown paper of record — seems to understand that BofA’s “marketing director” Anne Finucane in Boston has long been a kingmaker at BofA and Barney Frank is in her ear non-stop. If I am trying to make things happen at BofA to my liking, I’d much rather talk to Finucane than Obama.

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About Those McCrory Precincts That Went Foxx

The body of this Jim Morrill et al story was much more nuanced than the 30 McCrory precincts powered Foxx victory hed implied. The 30 city precincts that switched from red to blue absolutely do help explain how Anthony Foxx won. But when you put those flips in perspective, I think the bigger story remains low turnout in GOP precincts John Lassiter needed big vote totals out of in order to win.

First, consider the size of the precincts that flipped. Most were small, generating 500-600 votes total, with a couple in the 300 vote range. Second, Lassiter was competitive in all them often losing by a few dozen votes. He lost three precincts by a total of 27 votes. In the overall battle these flips were nagging flesh wounds, not mortal injuries.

Next consider turnout. Like we said the other day, Lassiter needed turnout to hit 30 percent in his core suburban precincts to win. And that kind of turnout in many precincts is absolutely what got him close to victory. In fact, of the 33 precincts with turnout higher than 30 percent, Lassiter won 32 of them, often by wide margins. Let me say that again. The only precinct Foxx carried with turnout above 30 percent was East Stonewall AME Zion with 36 percent.

Now let’s go back to Lassiter’s underperforming precincts. Charlotte Christian went Lassiter with 62 percent (408 R votes) but just 25 percent turnout. Living Saviour Lutheran, 68 percent (376 votes) on just 17 percent turnout. Providence High, 75 percent (509 votes) on 22 percent turnout. And some of the others we mentioned the other day: Providence Country Club, Hawk Ridge, Harrison United Methodist, Community House Middle, Calvary Church, McKee Road Elementary. All these and other big South Charlotte GOP precincts had turnout in the low 20s, a couple below 20 percent.

If you had to point to one thing that killed Lassiter on Election Day, I would start with those South Charlotte precincts that did not hit 30 percent.

Bonus Rain on Parade: Low turnout cuts another way. Anthony Foxx would be wise to consider that his supposed mandate to “rebuild” Charlotte comes from exactly 9.3 percent of registered voters.

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